IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Shane Ott Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-07-21 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Drumheller Dragons AJHL 58 16 40 56 0.966 0.3238 0.3329 0.8935 0.9186
2019-20 Drumheller Dragons AJHL 57 19 39 58 1.018 0.3413 0.3413 0.9416 0.9416
2020-21 Janesville Jets NAHL 43 12 17 29 0.674 0.2478 0.2478 0.7118 0.7118
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Niagara D1 AHA SR 35 9 25 34 0.971
2023-24 Niagara D1 AHA JR 38 5 15 20 0.526
2022-23 Niagara D1 AHA SO 40 10 18 28 0.700
2021-22 Niagara D1 AHA FR 36 8 10 18 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2021-22 · Niagara
+75.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#15805
Forward overall
#688
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

Grant Besse
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Average
NCAAe PPG
Justin Greenberg
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Miami (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Aston-Reese
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jarrid Privitera
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Vermont (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Montgomery
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha
0.34 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Devin Niles
Fitchburg State · 2024-25
1.500 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Blake Norris
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2020-21
0.409 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Tom Bark
Lake Forest · 2007-08
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.