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Logan Tobias Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-08-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Buffalo Jr. Sabres OJHL 25 15 9 24 0.960 0.2353 0.2353 0.6610 0.6610
2020-21 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 18 2 2 4 0.222 0.0816 0.0816 0.2345 0.2345
2021-22 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 50 8 17 25 0.500 0.1837 0.1760 0.5278 0.5058
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Nazareth D3 UCHC SR 24 7 12 19 0.792
2024-25 Nazareth D3 UCHC JR 24 12 15 27 1.125
2023-24 Nazareth D3 UCHC SO 25 14 5 19 0.760
2022-23 Nazareth D3 UCHC FR 26 20 5 25 0.962
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.96
2022-23 · Nazareth
+538.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30647
Forward overall
#1627
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tim O'Connor
Buffalo State · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex Ondos
Suffolk · 2024-25
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jared Salminen
Rivier · 2023-24
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.