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Logan Tobias Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-08-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Buffalo Jr. Sabres OJHL 25 15 9 24 0.960 0.2682 0.2682 0.6625 0.6625
2020-21 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 18 2 2 4 0.222 0.0825 0.0825 0.2353 0.2353
2021-22 Lone Star Brahmas NAHL 50 8 17 25 0.500 0.1857 0.1780 0.5294 0.5073
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Nazareth D3 UCHC SR 24 7 12 19 0.792
2024-25 Nazareth D3 UCHC JR 24 12 15 27 1.125
2023-24 Nazareth D3 UCHC SO 25 14 5 19 0.760
2022-23 Nazareth D3 UCHC FR 26 20 5 25 0.962
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.96
2022-23 · Nazareth
+530.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
38%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24168
Forward overall
#908
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Air Force (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Middlebury · 2001-02
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Morrisville · 2014-15
0.870 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Geneseo · 2022-23
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.