IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Mackie Samoskevich Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-11-15 Country: USA
2021 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #24  ·  Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 — USHL 2 0 2 2 1.000 0.6147 0.6944 2.9462 3.3284
2019-20 — USHL 47 13 21 34 0.723 0.4447 0.4447 2.1313 2.1313
2020-21 — USHL 36 13 24 37 1.028 0.6318 0.6318 3.0281 3.0281
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Michigan D1 BigTen — 39 20 23 43 1.103
2021-22 Michigan D1 BigTen — 40 10 19 29 0.725
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.65
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.72
2021-22 · Michigan
+12.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 17 comparables)

100%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Jack Eichel
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.90 PPG
→ Boston University (1.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Trevor Stone
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Air Force (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Average
NCAAe PPG
Seamus Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.74 D1 FR PPG)
0.80 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.67 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.