IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Byron Hartley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-05-09 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Houston Bulls NAHL 55 20 17 37 0.673 0.2665 0.2649 0.7063 0.7020
2022-23 Houston Bulls NAHL 60 21 21 42 0.700 0.2773 0.2620 0.7349 0.6943
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 St. Norbert D3 NCHA — 24 6 10 16 0.667
2023-24 St. Norbert D3 NCHA — 21 5 1 6 0.286
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2023-24 · St. Norbert
+26.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#18433
Forward overall
#995
Forward born in 2002
#1116
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Matt McCann
Norwich · 2008-09
0.632 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Rob Sgarbossa
SUNY Morrisville · 2006-07
0.880 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Carvalho
SUNY Morrisville · 2012-13
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.