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Matthew Koepke Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-06-13 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Utah Outliers USPHL-Premier 45 4 4 8 0.178 0.0201 0.0201 0.0605 0.0605
2021-22 Utah Outliers USPHL-Premier 47 16 21 37 0.787 0.0888 0.0877 — —
2022-23 Utah Outliers USPHL-Premier 46 8 24 32 0.696 0.0785 0.0737 0.2367 0.2221
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC GR 25 1 4 5 0.200
2024-25 Concordia D3 MIAC SR 26 4 5 9 0.346
2023-24 Concordia D3 MIAC JR 27 1 9 10 0.370
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.07
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.37
2023-24 · Concordia
+394.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6635
Defenseman overall
#1625
Defenseman born in 2002
#2180
in USPHL-Premier

D1 Comparables

Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Billy Fetherston
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2001-02
0.231 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Houston Wilson
Stevenson · 2016-17
0.261 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Paolo Dipasquale
St. Norbert · 2001-02
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.