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Alex Jefferies Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-11-08 Country: USA
2020 · Round 4, Pick #121  ·  New York Islanders New York Islanders
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Frederick Gunn NE-Prep 31 27 28 55 1.774 0.3515 0.3515 — —
2019-20 Frederick Gunn NE-Prep 32 26 28 54 1.688 0.3343 0.3343 0.7688 0.7688
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SR 22 13 10 23 1.046
2022-23 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast JR 38 14 27 41 1.079
2021-22 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 33 10 13 23 0.697
2020-21 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast FR 12 4 6 10 0.833
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.29
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.83
2020-21 · Merrimack
+185.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
52%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jestin Somero
SUNY Morrisville · 2016-17
0.542 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Trever Hertz
Utica · 2007-08
0.808 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kevin Shand
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2013-14
0.412 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.