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Nick Rogers Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-12-17 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 New York Aviators USPHL-Elite 4 1 0 1 0.250 0.0231 0.0268 0.0573 0.0666
2020-21 Danbury Jr. Hat Tricks NA3HL 17 9 4 13 0.765 0.0960 0.0960 0.2414 0.2414
2021-22 Danbury Jr. Hat Tricks NA3HL 36 27 17 44 1.222 0.1534 0.1546 0.3858 0.3888
2022-23 Danbury Jr. Hat Tricks NAHL 14 0 2 2 0.143 0.0525 0.0512 0.1508 0.1471
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Manhattanville D3 UCHC — 27 18 6 24 0.889
2023-24 Manhattanville D3 UCHC — 26 5 3 8 0.308
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2023-24 · Manhattanville
+288.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
25%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#31621
Forward overall
#1866
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Shane Topf
Neumann · 2012-13
0.231 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Billy McGwin
Salem State · 2017-18
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Williams
Lake Forest · 2012-13
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.