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Ryder Nienhuis Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-09-10 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Mercer Chiefs NCDC 49 18 17 35 0.714 0.1651 0.1676 0.5776 0.5865
2023-24 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 50 8 13 21 0.420 0.1492 0.1438 0.4410 0.4251
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Adrian D3 NCHA SO 18 3 2 5 0.278
2024-25 Adrian D3 NCHA — 27 7 3 10 0.370
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.37
2024-25 · Adrian
+182.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
25%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19669
Forward overall
#1012
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Robert Higgins
Becker · 2006-07
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Muise
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.286 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Rider McCallum
Plymouth State · 2021-22
0.889 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.