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Lucas Busch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-09-29 Country: USA
UMass Lowell
HockeyEast D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Providence Academy USHS-MN 25 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Maple Grove USHS-MN 27 4 3 7 0.259 0.0328 0.0328 0.0630 0.0630
2022-23 Maple Grove USHS-MN 31 14 29 43 1.387 0.1756 0.1756 0.3369 0.3369
2023-24 Wisconsin Windigo NAHL 13 2 3 5 0.385 0.1413 0.1507 0.4059 0.4329
2024-25 Wisconsin Windigo NAHL 23 6 11 17 0.739 0.2715 0.2753 0.7801 0.7911
2025-26 — BCHL 55 11 16 27 0.491 0.1891 0.1816 0.7144 0.6859
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26455
Forward overall
#1515
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

UMass Lowell Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Lucas Mercuri
NE-Prep 2019-20
0.42
actual FR PPG at UMass Lowell
Michael Cameron
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.39
actual FR PPG at UMass Lowell
Owen Fowler
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.36
actual FR PPG at UMass Lowell
Jack Musa
NE-Prep 2019-20
0.78
actual FR PPG at UMass Lowell

D2/3 Comparables

Maxwell Reavis
UMass Boston · 2011-12
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Payton Kender
Rivier · 2024-25
0.840 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Zilka
Hamline · 2006-07
0.760 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.