IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Curtiss Sturgeon Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-01 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Hawkesbury Hawks CCHL 46 3 11 14 0.304 0.0660 0.0720 0.2354 0.2567
2022-23 — CCHL 56 9 9 18 0.321 0.0697 0.0729 0.2486 0.2599
2023-24 Nepean Raiders CCHL 53 20 21 41 0.774 0.1678 0.1665 0.5984 0.5938
2024-25 Elmira Aviators NAHL 59 20 11 31 0.525 0.1867 0.1801 0.5542 0.5345
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Hamilton D3 NESCAC — 17 2 2 4 0.235
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.24
2025-26 · Hamilton
+57.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
25%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#28820
Forward overall
#1690
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Andrew Love
Neumann · 2008-09
0.650 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Noah Strawn
Endicott · 2018-19
0.518 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex Valenti
St. Scholastica · 2009-10
0.577 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.