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Ryan Lucarelli Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-07-10 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Sacred Heart
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Canterbury NE-Prep 24 2 2 4 0.167 0.0335 0.0335 0.0762 0.0762
2022-23 Canterbury NE-Prep 29 5 13 18 0.621 0.1248 0.1248 0.2838 0.2838
2023-24 Canterbury NE-Prep 33 12 33 45 1.364 0.2742 0.2742 0.6236 0.6236
2024-25 Canterbury NE-Prep 29 13 33 46 1.586 0.3190 0.3190 — —
2025-26 — NAHL 49 3 11 14 0.286 0.1050 0.1054 0.3020 0.3031
2026-27 Minnesota Mallards NAHL 9 6 10 16 1.778 0.6532 0.6343 1.8790 1.8247
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
75%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17772
Forward overall
#754
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG

Sacred Heart Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

NCDC 2020-21
0.00
actual FR PPG at Sacred Heart
NAHL 2022-23
0.29
actual FR PPG at Sacred Heart
NCDC 2021-22
0.08
actual FR PPG at Sacred Heart
BCHL 2020-21
0.69
actual FR PPG at Sacred Heart

D2/3 Comparables

Saint Mary's (MN) · 2010-11
1.200 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Anna Maria · 2018-19
0.706 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2012-13
1.133 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.