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Davis Burnside Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-09-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Tri-City Storm USHL 48 5 4 9 0.188 0.1153 0.1153 0.5524 0.5524
2020-21 — USHL 27 3 2 5 0.185 0.1138 0.1138 0.5456 0.5456
2021-22 — USHL 60 18 25 43 0.717 0.4406 0.4502 2.1115 2.1574
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Ohio State D1 BigTen SR 37 12 20 32 0.865
2024-25 Ohio State D1 BigTen JR 40 14 19 33 0.825
2023-24 Ohio State D1 BigTen SO 38 9 17 26 0.684
2022-23 Ohio State D1 BigTen FR 40 14 7 21 0.525
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.39
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.53
2022-23 · Ohio State
+36.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

82%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19613
Forward overall
#1007
Forward born in 2003
#1946
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Luke Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Strong
NCAAe PPG
C.J. Smith
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.98 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.90 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Elite
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2022-23
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.