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Ryan Chesley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-02-27 Country: USA
2022 NHL Draft Round 2, Pick #37  ·  Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 — NTDP-U18 49 12 24 36 0.735 0.5697 0.5697 2.7345 2.7345
2021-22 — NTDP-U18 59 12 17 29 0.491 0.3811 0.3694 1.8293 1.7729
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Minnesota D1 BigTen JR 40 8 12 20 0.500
2023-24 Minnesota D1 BigTen SO 39 2 6 8 0.205
2022-23 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 36 2 8 10 0.278
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.35
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2022-23 · Minnesota
-20.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

80%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Clark Kuster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.30 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Butcher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Luke Voltin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Nuttle
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Cornell
0.43 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Gross
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom
New England · 2010-11
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Gage Dill
Curry · 2018-19
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Colin Bella
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.