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Jay Buchholz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-07-04 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Portage Terriers MJHL 59 17 30 47 0.797 0.1533 0.1585 0.5023 0.5193
2019-20 Minot Minotauros NAHL 47 8 33 41 0.872 0.3205 0.3205 0.9207 0.9207
2020-21 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 15 2 4 6 0.400 0.2360 0.2360 1.2014 1.2014
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Minot State University ACHA_D1 — — 30 18 14 32 1.067
2024-25 Minot State University ACHA_D1 — — 30 18 14 32 1.067
2023-24 Minot State University ACHA_D1 — — 30 18 14 32 1.067
2022-23 Minot State University ACHA_D1 — — 30 18 14 32 1.067
2021-22 Minot State University ACHA_D1 — — 30 18 14 32 1.067
2020-21 Minot State University ACHA_D1 — — 30 18 14 32 1.067
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.07
2020-21 · Minot State University
+686.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19628
Forward overall
#894
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

Gage Torrel
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG
Adam Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jason Ford
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Nikolas Olsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Boston University (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average
NCAAe PPG
Nate Arentz
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Roberts
Manhattanville · 2022-23
0.320 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Johnathon Mead
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Schultz
Lebanon Valley · 2000-01
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.