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Andrew Centrella Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-01-29 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Omaha Lancers USHL 4 0 3 3 0.750 0.4610 0.4610 2.2096 2.2096
2021-22 — USHL 53 0 20 20 0.377 0.2320 0.2411 1.1119 1.1557
2022-23 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 61 2 25 27 0.443 0.2721 0.2687 1.3040 1.2876
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Providence D1 HockeyEast JR 34 3 11 14 0.412
2024-25 Providence D1 HockeyEast SO 34 2 12 14 0.412
2023-24 Providence D1 HockeyEast FR 18 0 3 3 0.167
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.17
2023-24 · Providence
-31.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4192
Defenseman overall
#1105
Defenseman born in 2004
#2050
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Nolan Gluchowski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.40 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dakota Mermis
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Denver (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Vince Pedrie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Penn State (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Clay Anderson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Harvard (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Justin Woods
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Josh Hechter
Saint Anselm · 2000-01
1.375 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tim Schneider
Middlebury · 2000-01
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Sam Ruffin
Adrian · 2017-18
1.276 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.