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Joey Larson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-03-27 Country: USA
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 — BCHL 52 14 19 33 0.635 0.2445 0.2445 0.9235 0.9235
2020-21 — USHL 10 2 0 2 0.200 0.1180 0.1180 0.6007 0.6007
2021-22 — USHL 61 32 34 66 1.082 0.6383 0.5727 3.2497 2.9158
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen GR 37 10 14 24 0.649
2023-24 Michigan D1 BigTen SR 38 16 16 32 0.842
2022-23 Michigan D1 BigTen JR 36 13 14 27 0.750
2022-23 Northern Michigan D1 CCHA — 36 13 14 27 0.750
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.53
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.75
2022-23 · Michigan
+40.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

80%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Shane Sooth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Eric Scheid
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Trevor Mingoia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Union (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.47 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Conor Landrigan
Utica · 2016-17
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.