IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Nicholas Moldenhauer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-05-25 Country: Canada
2022 NHL Draft Round 3, Pick #95  ·  Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 — USHL 6 0 2 2 0.333 0.2049 0.2049 0.9820 0.9820
2021-22 — USHL 41 18 25 43 1.049 0.6447 0.6804 3.0900 3.2612
2022-23 — USHL 55 30 45 75 1.364 0.8382 0.8410 4.0174 4.0310
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 29 3 7 10 0.345
2023-24 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 41 8 13 21 0.512
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.77
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.51
2023-24 · Michigan
-33.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

⭐ Elite profile — high probability of D1 placement; comparable to top-end prospects
88%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2567
Forward overall
#33
Forward born in 2004
#33
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.74 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Vinnie Hinostroza
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.30 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.94 D1 FR PPG)
0.80 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Zach Stepan
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.39 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.60 D1 FR PPG)
0.84 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.