IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Michael Stenberg Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-09-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Thayer Academy NE-Prep 26 4 3 7 0.269 0.0533 0.0533 0.1226 0.1226
2019-20 Thayer Academy NE-Prep 27 7 4 11 0.407 0.0807 0.0807 0.1856 0.1856
2020-21 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 9 0 1 1 0.111 0.0655 0.0655 0.3337 0.3337
2021-22 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 51 1 11 12 0.235 0.1388 0.1488 0.7067 0.7575
2022-23 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 12 1 0 1 0.083 0.0491 0.0501 0.2502 0.2552
2023-24 Merritt Centennials BCHL 49 9 7 16 0.327 0.1258 0.1253 0.4752 0.4734
2024-25 Maine Nordiques NAHL 54 14 12 26 0.481 0.1769 0.1704 0.5082 0.4895
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Connecticut College D3 NESCAC FR 21 2 2 4 0.191
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.19
2025-26 · Connecticut College
+46.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#39039
Forward overall
#2489
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kyle Wendorf
Hamline · 2016-17
0.400 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Adam Beauvais
SUNY Brockport · 2021-22
0.364 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jonathan Waring
Endicott · 2016-17
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.