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Michael Mesic Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-15 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Houston Bulls NAHL 60 18 31 49 0.817 0.3236 0.3584 1.4731 1.5712
2022-23 Lincoln Stars USHL 57 5 14 19 0.333 0.2049 0.2079 0.9820 0.9964
2024-25 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 56 24 29 53 0.946 0.5818 0.5317 2.7883 2.5483
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bentley D1 AHA SO 28 15 17 32 1.143
2023-24 Northern Michigan D1 CCHA — 26 4 5 9 0.346
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.35
2023-24 · Northern Michigan
+50.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

80%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8681
Forward overall
#342
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.50 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.51 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Rihards Marenis
Aurora · 2013-14
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Dill
Salem State · 2021-22
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2023-24
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.