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Nathan McBrayer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-05-11 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 — USHL 5 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 61 2 20 22 0.361 0.2217 0.2336 1.0627 1.1195
2022-23 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 57 7 24 31 0.544 0.3343 0.3348 1.6024 1.6048
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Ohio State D1 BigTen JR 36 4 6 10 0.278
2024-25 Ohio State D1 BigTen SO 40 4 6 10 0.250
2023-24 Ohio State D1 BigTen FR 34 0 7 7 0.206
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2023-24 · Ohio State
-25.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

82%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3349
Defenseman overall
#845
Defenseman born in 2004
#1686
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Benning
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

John Moncovich
Utica · 2016-17
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2014-15
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jon Whitelaw
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.