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Aaron Aragon Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-07-31 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Salmon Arm Silverbacks BCHL 4 1 0 1 0.250 0.0973 0.1010 0.3646 0.3783
2016-17 Melville Millionaires SJHL 53 10 12 22 0.415 0.1199 0.1195 0.3125 0.3115
2017-18 Northern Cyclones NCDC 49 16 21 37 0.755 0.2128 0.2031 0.6113 0.5835
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 New England D3 JR 4 3 2 5 1.250
2019-20 New England D3 SO 16 2 4 6 0.375
2018-19 New England D3 FR 30 10 4 14 0.467
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.47
2018-19 · New England
+221.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#23727
Forward overall
#1024
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ Army (0.52 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nichols · 2011-12
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Stevenson · 2021-22
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2017-18
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.