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Jake Richard Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-15 Country: USA
2022 NHL Draft Round 6, Pick #170  ·  Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — USHL 56 18 30 48 0.857 0.5056 0.5393 2.5252 2.6934
2022-23 — USHL 57 31 31 62 1.088 0.6416 0.6510 3.2046 3.2515
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UConn D1 HockeyEast JR 38 10 17 27 0.711
2024-25 UConn D1 HockeyEast SO 34 15 28 43 1.265
2023-24 UConn D1 HockeyEast FR 36 7 11 18 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.56
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2023-24 · UConn
-11.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

95%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3771
Forward overall
#85
Forward born in 2004
#126
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Brendan Harms
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.66 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.