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Lucas Ölvestad Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-03-19 Country: Sweden
Signed Professionally
Djurgårdens IF · SHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Djurgårdens IF U20 SuperElit 41 2 8 10 0.244 0.0956 0.0956 0.2996 0.2996
2020-21 Djurgårdens IF U20 SuperElit 14 2 3 5 0.357 0.1399 0.1399 0.4386 0.4386
2021-22 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 60 1 21 22 0.367 0.2254 0.2133 1.0804 1.0222
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 36 5 9 14 0.389
2024-25 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 38 4 16 20 0.526
2024-25 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 38 4 16 20 0.526
2023-24 Denver D1 NCHC — 32 0 6 6 0.188
2022-23 Denver D1 NCHC — 22 1 3 4 0.182
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.18
2022-23 · Denver
-9.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6842
Defenseman overall
#1672
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Victor Björkung
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Vinny Muto
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Niagara (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Max Everson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Harvard (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Hrabovsky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Taylor Fleming
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Travis Broughman
SUNY Oswego · 2016-17
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Connor Sleeth
SUNY Oswego · 2018-19
0.880 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryan Yim
Adrian · 2013-14
1.138 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.