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Nikita Nesterenko Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-09-10 Country: USA
2019 · Round 6, Pick #172  ·  Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Lawrenceville School NE-Prep 30 27 26 53 1.767 0.3500 0.3500 0.8049 0.8049
2019-20 BCHL 56 20 36 56 1.000 0.3853 0.3853 1.4553 1.4553
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Boston College D1 HockeyEast 36 13 21 34 0.944
2021-22 Boston College D1 HockeyEast 37 7 17 24 0.649
2020-21 Boston College D1 HockeyEast 24 8 11 19 0.792
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.79
2020-21 · Boston College
+164.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
75%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Albertus Magnus · 2016-17
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Neumann · 2021-22
1.200 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Salve Regina · 2013-14
1.381 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.