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Nikita Nesterenko Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-09-10 Country: USA
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Lawrenceville School NE-Prep 30 27 26 53 1.767 0.3562 0.3562 0.8086 0.8086
2019-20 — BCHL 56 20 36 56 1.000 0.3892 0.3892 1.4583 1.4583
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Boston College D1 HockeyEast — 36 13 21 34 0.944
2021-22 Boston College D1 HockeyEast — 37 7 17 24 0.649
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.65
2021-22 · Boston College
+112.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
78%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Billings
Salve Regina · 2013-14
1.381 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Gavin Payne
St. Thomas · 2014-15
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Prescott
Nichols · 2009-10
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.