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Alexander Ochitwa Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-09-28 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Merritt Centennials BCHL 18 2 4 6 0.333 0.1284 0.1284 0.4851 0.4851
2021-22 — BCHL 5 0 1 1 0.200 0.0771 0.0765 0.2911 0.2887
2022-23 Nipawin Hawks SJHL 52 18 15 33 0.635 0.1626 0.1555 0.4784 0.4574
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC GR 27 6 12 18 0.667
2024-25 Concordia D3 MIAC SR 27 3 11 14 0.518
2023-24 Concordia D3 MIAC JR 27 11 10 21 0.778
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.78
2023-24 · Concordia
+633.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#34260
Forward overall
#2044
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Vince Marino
Salve Regina · 2018-19
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mitch Walinski
Salve Regina · 2018-19
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mat Hehr
Fredonia · 2008-09
1.300 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.