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Anthony Lucarelli Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-10-16 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Powell River Kings BCHL 51 14 14 28 0.549 0.2115 0.2209 0.7999 0.8353
2022-23 Powell River Kings BCHL 50 21 22 43 0.860 0.3314 0.3298 1.2531 1.2471
2023-24 Powell River Kings BCHL 52 22 29 51 0.981 0.3779 0.3588 1.4291 1.3568
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA SO 30 5 7 12 0.400
2024-25 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA — 29 7 8 15 0.517
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.52
2024-25 · Long Island Univ.
+74.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14346
Forward overall
#701
Forward born in 2003
#563
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

David Szmyd
SUNY Geneseo · 2015-16
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Anthony Libonati
Becker · 2006-07
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Sharkey
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2012-13
1.138 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.