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Mathieu Cobetto-Roy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-10-21 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Salmon Arm Silverbacks BCHL 46 12 14 26 0.565 0.2178 0.2276 0.8225 0.8594
2022-23 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 48 15 29 44 0.917 0.3532 0.3518 1.3341 1.3287
2023-24 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 50 27 24 51 1.020 0.3930 0.3734 1.4844 1.4103
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 RIT D1 AHA SO 19 1 4 5 0.263
2024-25 RIT D1 AHA — 29 0 3 3 0.103
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2024-25 · RIT
-66.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
22%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13644
Forward overall
#653
Forward born in 2003
#483
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Scott Cuthrell
Nichols · 2013-14
0.704 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Scott Motz
Wisconsin-Stout · 2005-06
1.286 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Randall Smisko
Wisconsin-Superior · 2000-01
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.