IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Kai Greaves Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-03-04 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Alberni Valley Bulldogs BCHL 47 2 12 14 0.298 0.1148 0.1163 0.4335 0.4393
2022-23 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 54 5 22 27 0.500 0.1926 0.1857 0.7277 0.7017
2023-24 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 53 5 27 32 0.604 0.2326 0.2136 0.8787 0.8070
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Princeton D1 ECAC SO 34 0 14 14 0.412
2024-25 Princeton D1 ECAC — 29 2 1 3 0.103
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2024-25 · Princeton
-45.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7690
Defenseman overall
#1782
Defenseman born in 2003
#1677
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ricky Carballo
Endicott · 2017-18
0.857 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Arvega Hovsepyan
Salve Regina · 2023-24
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Hayden Stocks
Wisconsin-Stout · 2023-24
0.739 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.