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Sam Rinzel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-06-25 Country: USA
2022 · Round 1, Pick #25  ·  Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Chaska USHS-MN 28 4 5 9 0.321 0.0407 0.0407 0.0781 0.0781
2020-21 Chaska USHS-MN 19 8 17 25 1.316 0.1666 0.1666 0.3196 0.3196
2021-22 — USHL 21 2 8 10 0.476 0.2809 0.2976 1.4302 1.5155
2022-23 — USHL 58 9 27 36 0.621 0.3662 0.3690 1.8642 1.8785
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Minnesota D1 BigTen — 40 10 22 32 0.800
2023-24 Minnesota D1 BigTen — 39 2 26 28 0.718
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.32
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.72
2023-24 · Minnesota
+123.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

92%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Benning
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Zach Tarantino
UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2000-01
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Gus Katsuras
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.