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Tomas Machu Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-03-02 Country: Czechia
2021 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #221  ·  New York Islanders New York Islanders
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 — USHL-Style-Czech 5 0 7 7 1.400 0.4403 0.4403 1.5407 1.5407
2021-22 — USHL 34 0 6 6 0.176 0.1085 0.1078 0.5200 0.5168
2022-23 — USHL 57 4 10 14 0.246 0.1510 0.1422 0.7236 0.6815
2023-24 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 60 1 16 17 0.283 0.1741 0.1553 0.8347 0.7447
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Providence D1 HockeyEast SO 35 0 4 4 0.114
2024-25 Providence D1 HockeyEast — 30 2 4 6 0.200
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.20
2024-25 · Providence
+41.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
60%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10467
Defenseman overall
#2240
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Patrick Noonan
Southern Maine · 2022-23
1.133 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ben Kemp
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2001-02
0.536 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Monreal
Southern New Hampshire · 2018-19
0.450 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.