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Ethan Johnson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-31 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Sherwood Park Crusaders AJHL 20 1 5 6 0.300 0.1006 0.1045 0.2767 0.2873
2024-25 Drumheller Dragons AJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Lawrence D3 NCHA — 22 7 9 16 0.727
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.73
2025-26 · Lawrence
+712.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
62%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#46944
Forward overall
#3170
Forward born in 2004
#1919
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Ryan Fitzgerald
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.12 PPG
→ Boston College (0.72 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Cédric Lacroix
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.13 PPG
→ Maine (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ian Mansfield
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gage Torrel
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG
Adam Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Frank Rizzo
SUNY Cortland · 2003-04
0.733 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
David Stewart
Worcester State · 2000-01
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ben Gamache
Hobart · 2009-10
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.