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Larry Keenan Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-03-15 Country: Canada
2023 · Round 4, Pick #117  ·  Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 — BCHL 53 6 24 30 0.566 0.2181 0.2225 0.8237 0.8402
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass D1 HockeyEast SO 36 8 11 19 0.528
2024-25 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 40 4 7 11 0.275
2024-25 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 40 4 7 11 0.275
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2024-25 · UMass
+31.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6262
Defenseman overall
#1531
Defenseman born in 2005
#1434
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Clay Anderson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Harvard (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Justin Woods
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Jeff Taylor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Union (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Garret Cockerill
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Tim Davison
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Bartfield
Skidmore · 2020-21
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brendan Bottem
Marian · 2020-21
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Chad Anderson
Norwich · 2004-05
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.