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Larry Keenan Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-03-15 Country: Canada
2023 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #117  ·  Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 — BCHL 53 6 24 30 0.566 0.2108 0.2150 0.8247 0.8412
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass D1 HockeyEast SO 36 8 11 19 0.528
2024-25 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 40 4 7 11 0.275
2024-25 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 40 4 7 11 0.275
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2024-25 · UMass
+35.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6020
Defenseman overall
#1515
Defenseman born in 2005
#1605
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Clay Anderson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Harvard (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Justin Woods
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Garret Cockerill
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Tim Davison
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.14 No data
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Wingels
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Miami
0.18 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Bartfield
Skidmore · 2020-21
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ethan Davidson
Wesleyan · 2021-22
0.773 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brendan Sanders
Elmira · 2007-08
0.815 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.