IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Lucas Buzziol Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-04-05 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Milton Menace OJHL 1 0 1 1 1.000 0.3004 0.3004 0.6845 0.6845
2020-21 Milton Menace OJHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Milton Menace OJHL 51 20 29 49 0.961 0.2886 0.3071 0.6577 0.6998
2022-23 Milton Menace OJHL 45 23 31 54 1.200 0.3605 0.3651 0.8214 0.8319
2023-24 Alberni Valley Bulldogs BCHL 47 8 19 27 0.575 0.2140 0.2082 0.8371 0.8145
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Union D1 ECAC SO 37 14 13 27 0.730
2024-25 Union D1 ECAC — 29 5 8 13 0.448
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.45
2024-25 · Union
+93.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17948
Forward overall
#911
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Schutt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Austin Miller
UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kevin Van Bokkelen
Lebanon Valley · 2016-17
0.550 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cam Doull
Lake Forest · 2001-02
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.