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Jagger Tapper Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-01 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Okotoks Oilers AJHL 5 1 0 1 0.200 0.0664 0.0725 0.1854 0.2025
2022-23 Okotoks Oilers AJHL 47 10 9 19 0.404 0.1341 0.1398 0.3747 0.3906
2023-24 Okotoks Oilers AJHL 43 19 18 37 0.861 0.2855 0.2842 0.7975 0.7938
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 RPI D1 ECAC SO 35 4 10 14 0.400
2024-25 RPI D1 ECAC — 29 8 12 20 0.690
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.69
2024-25 · RPI
+255.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17421
Forward overall
#876
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Judd Peterson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Landon Smith
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.79 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Strong
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Fossen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Clarkson (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Grant Opperman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.56 PPG
→ Dartmouth (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Wood
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ RPI (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dan Law
Manhattanville · 2000-01
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jared Wynia
Fredonia · 2009-10
0.789 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Carr
SUNY Oswego · 2009-10
0.583 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.