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Justin Stupka Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-03-15 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 3 1 1 2 0.667 0.4098 0.4490 1.9642 2.1520
2022-23 Omaha Lancers USHL 55 4 9 13 0.236 0.1453 0.1516 0.6965 0.7269
2023-24 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 59 10 14 24 0.407 0.2501 0.2486 1.1985 1.1913
2024-25 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 60 15 11 26 0.433 0.2663 0.2511 1.2766 1.2038
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Miami D1 NCHC FR 31 3 5 8 0.258
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2025-26 · Miami
+20.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#23291
Forward overall
#1303
Forward born in 2005
#2313
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eric Freschi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Josh Maucieri
St. Thomas · 2018-19
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Marlon Gardner
Neumann · 2006-07
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Logan DiScanio
New England · 2018-19
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.