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Lucas St-Louis Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-03-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 2 0 1 1 0.500 0.2949 0.3237 1.5017 1.6484
2022-23 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 61 3 21 24 0.393 0.2321 0.2427 1.1815 1.2355
2023-24 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 43 15 14 29 0.674 0.3978 0.3962 2.0255 2.0175
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Harvard D1 ECAC — 33 1 10 11 0.333
2024-25 Harvard D1 ECAC — 33 2 9 11 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.32
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2024-25 · Harvard
+5.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2489
Defenseman overall
#607
Defenseman born in 2005
#1165
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Jeff Taylor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Union (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Logan DiScanio
University of New England · 2017-18
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryce Grandbois
Worcester State · 2023-24
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Fox
Salem State · 2005-06
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.