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Griffin Erdman Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-02-10 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.2049 0.2236 0.9820 1.0715
2022-23 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 62 18 23 41 0.661 0.4065 0.4224 1.9483 2.0246
2023-24 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 58 22 20 42 0.724 0.4451 0.4404 2.1333 2.1108
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast SO 36 6 9 15 0.417
2024-25 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast — 37 1 2 3 0.081
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.37
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.08
2024-25 · Northeastern
-78.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

95%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7577
Forward overall
#288
Forward born in 2005
#619
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Adam Gilmour
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Boston College (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jared Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dave Gust
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
Cam Darcy
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Papa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.72 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2015-16
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.