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Austin Baker Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-02-11 Country: USA
2024 · Round 7, Pick #203  ·  Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — NTDP-U18 57 12 16 28 0.491 0.3651 0.3704 1.8329 1.8593
2023-24 — NTDP-U18 59 15 16 31 0.525 0.3905 0.3761 1.9605 1.8881
2024-25 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 56 10 21 31 0.554 0.3266 0.3229 1.6627 1.6436
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Michigan D1 BigTen — 14 0 1 1 0.071
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.29
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.07
2025-26 · Michigan
-75.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11687
Forward overall
#427
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Zach Aman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Willem Nong-Lambert
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Andrew Poturalski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.72 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Schempp
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Schmidt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Bentley (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Caden Smith
Chatham · 2019-20
1.292 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
John Moncovich
Utica · 2016-17
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dante Spagnuolo
Adrian · 2017-18
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.