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Chase Cheslock Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-10-25 Country: USA
2023 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #154  ·  New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Rogers USHS-MN 20 8 14 22 1.100 0.2961 0.2961 0.2672 0.2672
2021-22 Rogers USHS-MN 28 10 29 39 1.393 0.3750 0.3750 0.3383 0.3383
2022-23 — USHL 15 1 4 5 0.333 0.2049 0.2099 0.9820 1.0059
2023-24 Omaha Lancers USHL 15 2 6 8 0.533 0.3278 0.3195 1.5712 1.5315
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Thomas D1 CCHA JR 38 1 23 24 0.632
2024-25 St. Thomas D1 CCHA — 38 1 13 14 0.368
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.37
2024-25 · St. Thomas
+41.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5153
Defenseman overall
#1324
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Matthew Dougherty
Western New England · 2018-19
0.846 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Collin Patterson
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike Bickley
Wisconsin-Superior · 2000-01
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.