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Chad Varney Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-10-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Brockville Braves CCHL 41 12 16 28 0.683 0.1949 0.1934 0.5286 0.5246
2017-18 Calgary Canucks AJHL 36 7 19 26 0.722 0.2412 0.2268 0.6704 0.6304
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Hamilton D3 NESCAC SR 9 2 4 6 0.667
2020-21 Hamilton D3 NESCAC JR 0 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Hamilton D3 NESCAC SO 9 1 0 1 0.111
2018-19 Hamilton D3 NESCAC FR 20 1 1 2 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2018-19 · Hamilton
-45.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
68%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17572
Forward overall
#723
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Ian Miller
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Doucet
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Air Force (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Ladzinski
Franklin Pierce · 2018-19
0.387 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cam Owens
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2014-15
0.647 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Colin Larkin
UMass Boston · 2013-14
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.