IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Taylor Makar Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-03-13 Country: Canada
2021 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #220  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 — AJHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.1106 0.1226 0.3089 0.3425
2018-19 — AJHL 43 4 13 17 0.395 0.1312 0.1391 0.3664 0.3885
2019-20 — AJHL 42 8 16 24 0.571 0.1896 0.1896 0.5296 0.5296
2020-21 — AJHL 16 5 14 19 1.188 0.3940 0.3940 1.1006 1.1006
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Maine D1 HockeyEast — 38 18 12 30 0.789
2023-24 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 36 4 5 9 0.250
2023-24 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 36 4 5 9 0.250
2022-23 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 32 10 2 12 0.375
2022-23 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 32 10 2 12 0.375
2021-22 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 17 1 0 1 0.059
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.06
2021-22 · UMass
-48.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
90%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

John Wiitala
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Riley Alferd
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kiefer Sherwood
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Miami (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Average
NCAAe PPG
Drew Callin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Bentley (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Adam Winborg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Philip Elgstam
Norwich · 2015-16
0.409 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brogan Shea
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
0.385 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Christopher Garbe
Middlebury · 2016-17
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.