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Hagen Burrows Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-10-13 Country: USA
2024 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #128  ·  Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Minnetonka USHS-MN 27 13 13 26 0.963 0.2592 0.2592 0.2339 0.2339
2022-23 Minnetonka USHS-MN 31 25 25 50 1.613 0.4342 0.4342 0.3918 0.3918
2023-24 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 25 9 13 22 0.880 0.5409 0.5533 2.5927 2.6523
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Denver D1 NCHC SO 43 6 10 16 0.372
2024-25 Denver D1 NCHC — 39 1 8 9 0.231
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.47
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.23
2024-25 · Denver
-51.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

95%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4986
Forward overall
#136
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Luke Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Roos
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.49 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brendan Harms
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2017-18
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2023-24
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Dill
Salem State · 2021-22
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.