IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Tanner Henricks Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-07-25 Country: USA
2024 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #101  ·  Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Lincoln Stars USHL 59 0 9 9 0.152 0.0937 0.0995 0.4493 0.4772
2024-25 Lincoln Stars USHL 60 4 29 33 0.550 0.3381 0.3418 1.6204 1.6382
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Cloud State D1 NCHC FR 14 3 3 6 0.429
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.43
2025-26 · St. Cloud State
+85.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4824
Defenseman overall
#1045
Defenseman born in 2006
#2268
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Kapla
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Benning
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

John Moncovich
Utica · 2016-17
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jon Whitelaw
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.