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Caeden Herrington Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-01-26 Country: USA
2025 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #120  ·  Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Holderness NE-Prep 29 5 14 19 0.655 0.1848 0.1848 0.2998 0.2998
2023-24 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 16 1 3 4 0.250 0.1537 0.1594 0.7366 0.7642
2024-25 Lincoln Stars USHL 56 16 18 34 0.607 0.3732 0.3681 1.7886 1.7642
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Vermont D1 HockeyEast FR 34 1 7 8 0.235
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.24
2025-26 · Vermont
-12.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2590
Defenseman overall
#519
Defenseman born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Gluchowski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.40 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dakota Mermis
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Denver (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Colin Bella
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Yuel
Curry · 2005-06
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.