IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Roman Cherniak Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-31 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Sherwood Park Crusaders AJHL 16 2 2 4 0.250 0.0838 0.0912 0.2314 0.2517
2022-23 Portage Terriers MJHL 14 0 3 3 0.214 0.0413 0.0432 0.1351 0.1414
2023-24 — USPHL-Premier 23 17 33 50 2.174 0.2843 0.2846 0.7378 0.7385
2024-25 Ogden Mustangs NCDC 47 12 26 38 0.808 0.3296 0.3174 0.6499 0.6258
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Lawrence D3 NCHA FR 19 5 11 16 0.842
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.84
2025-26 · Lawrence
+223.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4235
Forward overall
#96
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Andrew Logar
Buffalo State · 2017-18
0.320 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Pat Egan
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2014-15
1.080 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Liam Stirzinger
Aurora · 2015-16
0.929 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.