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Tynan Lawrence Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2008-08-03 Country: Canada
2026 · Round 1, Pick #11  ·  St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 56 25 29 54 0.964 0.5688 0.6327 2.8962 3.2214
2025-26 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 13 10 7 17 1.308 0.7714 0.8208 3.9275 4.1788
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Boston University D1 HockeyEast FR 18 2 5 7 0.389
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.59
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.39
2025-26 · Boston University
-34.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

⭐ Elite profile — high probability of D1 placement; comparable to top-end prospects
88%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2886
Forward overall
#2
Forward born in 2008
#52
in USHL

D1 Comparables

J.T. Compher
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.70 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Seamus Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.74 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.