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Heath Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-03-22 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Augustana
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Centennial USHS-MN 22 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2022-23 Centennial USHS-MN 26 9 9 18 0.692 0.0876 0.0876 0.1682 0.1682
2023-24 Centennial USHS-MN 31 38 32 70 2.258 0.2859 0.2859 — —
2024-25 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 61 16 15 31 0.508 0.2998 0.2980 1.5263 1.5170
2025-26 Victoria Royals WHL 68 21 24 45 0.662 0.3220 0.3037 1.6239 1.5314
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10080
Forward overall
#340
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Eric Freschi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cameron Brown
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Maine (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Average
NCAAe PPG
Devin Loe
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Miami (0.71 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Ben Foster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.60 PPG
→ Princeton (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Charlie O'Connor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Augustana Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Joey DelGreco
USHS-MN 2021-22
0.43
actual FR PPG at Augustana
Tyler Hennen
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.46
actual FR PPG at Augustana
Payton Matsui
BCHL 2019-20
0.62
actual FR PPG at Augustana
Ben Troumbly
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.46
actual FR PPG at Augustana

D2/3 Comparables

Shawn Skelly
Adrian · 2006-07
1.655 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Miller
St. Scholastica · 2008-09
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jonny Mulera
Salve Regina · 2018-19
1.409 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.