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Payton Matsui Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-04-15 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Central Illinois Flying Aces USHL 13 2 0 2 0.154 0.0907 0.0907 0.4619 0.4621
2019-20 Merritt Centennials BCHL 58 18 26 44 0.759 0.2923 0.2923 1.1040 1.1040
2020-21 Aberdeen Wings NAHL 56 27 38 65 1.161 0.4264 0.4264 1.2251 1.2251
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Augustana D1 CCHA — 34 8 13 21 0.618
2023-24 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA GR 34 5 15 20 0.588
2022-23 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA SR 34 9 19 28 0.824
2021-22 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA JR 26 3 3 6 0.231
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.23
2021-22 · Alaska Fairbanks
+197.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
80%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14055
Forward overall
#600
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

Ryan McMurphy
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.14 PPG
→ Bentley (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ben Storm
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.03 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jason Ford
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brad Hawkinson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Denver
0.19 No data
NCAAe PPG
Josh Nenadal
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.30 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brad Dormiedy
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cam Boche
Saint John's · 2019-20
0.375 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Marcus Chrisafideis
Westfield State · 2023-24
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.