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Nick Bogas Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2008-07-23 Country: USA
2026 · Round 5, Pick #139  ·  St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
Michigan State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 60 1 10 11 0.183 0.1081 0.1201 0.5500 0.6109
2025-26 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 37 2 2 4 0.108 0.0804 0.0791 0.4054 0.3987
2026-27 Flint Firebirds OHL 6 1 4 5 0.833 0.4821 0.4821 2.1819 2.1819
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
90%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19807
Defenseman overall
#1143
Defenseman born in 2008

D1 Comparables

NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Cornell
0.41 No data
NCAAe PPG
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG

Michigan State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

USHL 2021-22
0.45
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
AJHL 2017-18
0.67
actual FR PPG at Michigan State

D2/3 Comparables

Plymouth State · 2012-13
1.444 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Buffalo State · 2022-23
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Utica · 2017-18
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.