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Hardy Wagner Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2000-12-28 Country: Canada
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Notre Dame Hounds SJHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.1015 0.1138 0.2470 0.2770
2018-19 Notre Dame Hounds SJHL 52 3 16 19 0.365 0.1113 0.1191 0.2708 0.2897
2019-20 Notre Dame Hounds SJHL 47 7 12 19 0.404 0.1231 0.1231 0.2996 0.2996
2020-21 Notre Dame Hounds SJHL 5 0 3 3 0.600 0.1828 0.1828 0.4447 0.4447
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Lake Forest D3 NCHA SR 24 0 9 9 0.375
2023-24 Lake Forest D3 NCHA JR 13 0 2 2 0.154
2022-23 Lake Forest D3 NCHA SO 14 0 0 0 0.000
2021-22 Lake Forest D3 NCHA FR 24 1 2 3 0.125
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2021-22 · Lake Forest
+13.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
85%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14356
Defenseman overall
#2379
Defenseman born in 2000
#1437
in SJHL

D1 Comparables

Clint Lewis
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ Cornell (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Alec McCrea
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ Cornell (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Garrett Cecere
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.28 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.09 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Alex Smith
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.47 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
David Drake
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ UConn (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Steve Gervais
Neumann · 2006-07
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Billy McGwin
Salem State · 2015-16
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Penner
Concordia (WI) · 2010-11
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.